2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!The heavy meeting said to stabilize the stock market. Yesterday, the big A was really stable, and the index didn't rise much. However, more than 3,800 stocks rose, with the median price increase and decrease of +0.9%. Low prices, small and medium-sized microdisks, technology and consumption are still the mainstream!As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!
Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:1. After-hours news, the first robot dog was delivered in China; 2. Hangzhou issued a three-year action plan: to create a consumption scene covering new productivity such as humanoid robots; 3. Tesla has also made new moves and applied for registration of the trademark of robot action toys.Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.
If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.The heavy meeting said to stabilize the stock market. Yesterday, the big A was really stable, and the index didn't rise much. However, more than 3,800 stocks rose, with the median price increase and decrease of +0.9%. Low prices, small and medium-sized microdisks, technology and consumption are still the mainstream!
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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